Andrew's profileAndrew spacePhotosBlogLists Tools Help

Blog


    10/8/2009

    Where do we need to plant Chinese churches?

    Sydney map of Chinese people by SLA - 2006Where in Sydney do we need to plant Chinese churches? Which areas have lots of Chinese people - but are very thin on Chinese churches?

    In the past there was this map created with Google Maps, showing the 100+ Chinese churches in Sydney. That was made by Ernest Chiang (who is doing a church plant in Mortdale with CECA). And remember, that map used a very broad classification of Chinese churches. The different coloured pins, by the way, are meant to represent different areas.

    And we've also seen this map (to the right), which shows you the Chinese population density in different areas of Sydney.

    But wouldn't it be good if you could put the two together, to see where we need to plant?

    What I've done today is just that. I've overlaid them, with a bit of resizing and stretching and transparency... and that gets us the following map.

    Map of Sydney Chinese churches overlaid with Chinese population density

    The usefulness of a map like this is probably immediately obvious for planning your future church plant. You can easily see areas of significant Chinese population density, yet with few Chinese churches (use the small hotmap above to identify significant areas). Here are some of those areas:

    • Fairfield East - 16,616 people of Chinese ancestry - but only seven green pins;
    • Canterbury - 16,266 people of Chinese ancestry - but only two light blue, and two dark blue pins;
    • Ryde - 15,010 people of Chinese ancestry - but only four red pins;
    • Auburn - 12,619 people of Chinese ancestry - but only three purple pins.
    Be aware that some of the churches on this map are struggling, or are only focussing on one language or demographic, or have somewhat dodgy theology... And that some brand-new churches have been planted since Ernest made that map!

    [ PS: where would you plant a Chinese church? ]
    10/6/2009

    Chinese in Catholic (and other) schools in Sydney

    From graphs like this in previous posts, it's pretty clear that the primary school and high school age group is very significant for the future of ABC ministries. Well, what kind of educational institutions are ABCs in? How many of them are in Catholic (and other) schools?

    First off, here is a graph showing you where the Chinese and ABCs are in terms of educational institutions in Sydney. Note that the red bars (All students) maps to the scale on the right hand side. The green and blue bars (Chinese and ABCs) maps to the scale on the left hand side. I've put them on the same graph so you can see the relative proportions.

    Proportion in educational institutions in Sydney - Chinese, ABCs and all - 2006

    In case you want it, here is a table with that data.

      Preschool  Govt.
     Infants/Primary 
     Catholic
     Infants/Primary 
     Other
     Infants/Primary 
     Govt.
     Secondary 
     Catholic
     Secondary 
     Other
     Secondary 
     TAFE Uni / Tertiary  Other
     All students 69,916 220,630 70,529 39,223 150,444 70,831 48,479  101,418 179,607  31,306 
     Chinese3,439 18,095 2,454 1,876 15,292 2,703 3,467 10,047 32,975 3,283 
     ABCs2,958 14,210 2,075 1,540 8,384 1,781 1,629 901 5,416 323 

    From this you can see that the vast bulk of both Chinese and ABCs are actually in government primary schools and high schools. And there are quite a few of them. Roughly 8% of kids in government primary schools and 10% of kids in government high schools are Chinese - even though people of Chinese ancestry only make up 3.4% of Australia's population.

    From the stats on religion in a previous post, a number of people have asked about how many ABCs are actually in Catholic schools. This table tells you the answer: 2,075 are in Catholic primary schools, and 1,781 are in Catholic high schools. While the number of ABCs in Catholic schools is proportionally much less than the population as a whole, it's actually about right for the percentage of ABCs that are Catholics.

    You might have thought that there would be proportionally more ABCs going into Uni / tertiary education than the general population. So why does the blue bar look so low? That's because the age profile for ABCs is not flat - but heavily weighted towards primary and high schoolers (see this graph). It's not that there are less ABCs doing tertiary education - but there are much more school aged ABCs coming up through the education pipeline!

    Notice also the big green spike of Chinese people in Uni / Tertiary education - that's because of overseas students!

    Here is a map of Chinese kids (not necessarily ABCs) in Catholic infant and primary schools.

    Map of Chinese in Catholic infant and primary schools - Sydney, 2006

    And here is a map of Chinese kids in Catholic secondary schools.

    Map of Chinese in Catholic secondary schools - Sydney, 2006

    Here is a table with that information on Catholic primary and secondary schools. Note that these are kids of Chinese ancestry, not just ABCs.

     Statistical Local Area Attending Catholic
     infant and primary
     schools 
     Attending Catholic
     secondary schools 
     Statistical Local Area Attending Catholic
     infant and primary
     schools 
     Attending Catholic
     secondary schools 
     Botany Bay 45 68  Auburn 99 129 
     Leichhardt 10  Holroyd 52 44 
     Marrickville 49 33  Parramatta - Inner20 19 
     Sydney - Inner33  Parramatta - North-East44 36 
     Sydney - East15  Parramatta - North-West23 16 
     Sydney - South19 50  Parramatta - South33 17 
     Sydney - West10 31  Blue Mountains
     Randwick 111 228  Hawkesbury 12 
     Waverley  Penrith - East19 19 
     Woollahra 22  Penrith - West19 25 
     Hurstville 121 97  Blacktown - North47 61 
     Kogarah 62 46  Blacktown - South-East73 59 
     Rockdale 82 53  Blacktown - South-West26 30 
     Sutherland Shire - East18 29  Hunter's Hill 63 
     Sutherland Shire - West22 38  Lane Cove 18 29 
     Bankstown - North-East52 52  Mosman
     Bankstown - North-West57 50  North Sydney 23 
     Bankstown - South44 34  Ryde 85 82 
     Canterbury 175 139  Willoughby 58 108 
     Fairfield - East168 145  Baulkham Hills - Central50 60 
     Fairfield - West67 83  Baulkham Hills - North25 23 
     Liverpool - East46 34  Baulkham Hills - South28 37 
     Liverpool - West53 44  Hornsby - North39 34 
     Camden  Hornsby - South50 41 
     Campbelltown - North19 14  Ku-ring-gai 67 84 
     Campbelltown - South14  Manly 24 
     Wollondilly  Pittwater
     Ashfield 68 51  Warringah 44 73 
     Burwood 56 34  Gosford - East
     Canada Bay - Concord25 16  Gosford - West
     Canada Bay - Drummoyne11 30  Wyong - North-East
     Strathfield 46 33  Wyong - South and West

    [ PS: for more on Catholic ABCs see this post... ]
    10/1/2009

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney (part 3): more on North and South

    In a previous post we raised the theory of Chinese people moving from the South of the city, to the North.

    What I've done here is divided up Sydney into North and South. In the graph below there is a list of Statistical Local Areas (SLAs) - and I have grouped the SLAs from 'Botany Bay' to 'Blacktown - South West' as being the South, and the SLAs from 'Hunter's Hill' to 'Wyong - South and West' as being the North. Admittedly this is not a perfect division (eg. this puts 'Penrith' and 'Blue Mountains' in the South), but it'll do as a rough guide.

    This bar graph then shows you the movements into each of these SLAs, divided up into whether they are coming from SLAs in the South (red) or the North (blue).
    Movements of Chinese from South and North, by SLA - 2001-2006 (red and blue)
    This is helpful  in showing you whether the people moving into a certain SLA have mostly been from the South, or the North.

    But what is happening across Sydney as a whole? Is there a big movement from South to North, as they theory suggests?

    For this next graph I've tallied up all the movements of Chinese from the North and South, and whether they have gone to the North or South. This graph shows you the overall pattern of movements into and out of these two areas.

    Movements of Chinese in Sydney - overall bar graph - 2001-2006
    Here is a table summarising this movement data for the Chinese in Sydney.

     From North   To North   10,325 
     To South 3,229 
     From South  To North 6,775 
     To South 39,237 

    What we see is that, on the whole, people from both North and South tend to stay in their area (10,325 Chinese who moved from the North stayed in the North, and 39,237 Chinese who moved from the South stayed in the South).

    In addition, the South saw more Chinese people moving about than the North (a total of 13,554 moving from the North, compared to a total of 46,012 moving from the South). However the picture is also skewed because the South also includes disproportionally more SLAs than the North.

    But what about across-the-harbour movements? When we look at people crossing over to different areas, there are less Chinese people moving from the North to the South (3,229) than there are Chinese people moving from the South to the North (6,775). In fact over this 2001-06 period there was a net movement of 3,546 Chinese people from the South to the North.

    So the theory is true - on the whole, Chinese people are moving from South to North. But this movement is not very large: 3,546 only represents about 7.7% of the total house movements in the South...

    [ PS: how many people in your church have moved across to the other side of Sydney over the past 5 years? how many have moved in? ]
    9/29/2009

    Life stage of Sydney ABCs - in bar graphs

    In a previous post I published a table of Australian Born Chinese (ABCs) in Sydney by life stage and area - as well as a series of maps. However maybe a better way to see that data is to have it in a stacked bar graph. Here it is:

    Sydney ABCs by life stage and SLA (bar graph) - 2006

    I find this a better way to identify significant areas of ABC high schoolers (say), than with a hot map. I think it's also easier to see how your area stacks up against others in Sydney this way.

    This second graph here is that same data, but now in a 100% stacked bar graph. This is useful for showing you the relative proportions. Note that right at the bottom of this graph is also a 'Total' bar, that shows you the average across Sydney as a whole - use that to compare your area against the whole of Sydney.

    Sydney ABCs by life stage and SLA (100% bar graph) - 2006

    This is not as useful as the previous graph - but in a few instances it can quickly alert you to the fact that your area has a disproportionate number of ABC young workers (eg. Sydney East) - or children (eg. the Parramatta area) - compared to other areas in Sydney.

    [ PS: notice how prominent the reds and greens are in both graphs - a sign of  how many young children there are in the ABC category... ]
    9/23/2009

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney (part 2): where are they moving?

    1. Two theories on people movements in Sydney

    In the last post we looked at which areas have people who have moved house, and which are more stable areas (see previous post). But where are they moving from? and where are they going to? There are two theories that are going around.

    The first theory states that people tend to move outwards away from the city, along train lines. And so if they start off in Ashfield, they will move out further from the city, but along the same train line - perhaps to Parramatta. If they start off in West Ryde, they will move up further to Hornsby - and so on.

    The second theory states that people are moving from the South, across the harbour to the North as they become more established and more affluent. And so if they started off in Randwick, they might cross over to Artarmon. If they started off in Ashfield they might cross over to Ryde.

    Which - if any - of these theories are right? 

    2. Mapping movements among the Chinese in Sydney

    With the help of CDATA at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, we can see what's actually happening with the Chinese population of Sydney. I've created a table of movements across Sydney that is very large and can't reproduce here (but you can download it from here). From this I identified six areas that had significant numbers of people who changed their home address during the past five years. And then created maps of where those people went. These six areas are:

      • Canterbury (4,558 Chinese people moved from here)
      • Fairfield East (3,775 Chinese people moved from here)
      • Randwick (3,238 Chinese people moved from here)
      • Hurstville (3,013 Chinese people moved from here)
      • Auburn (2,773 Chinese people moved from here)
      • Ryde (2,641 Chinese people moved from here)
    First, a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in the Canterbury area 5 years ago. The majority have moved within Canterbury itself (1,669 people). Others have moved nearby to Hurstville (419 people) or North-East Bankstown (234 people).

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Canterbury 5 years ago

    This one is a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in Fairfield East 5 years ago. Again, the majority have moved within Fairfield East (2,069 people). When they have moved out, they have tended to move nearby suburbs like Fairfield West (375 people) or Liverpool West (145 people).

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Fairfield East 5 years ago

    This is a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in the Randwick area 5 years ago. Again they have tended to move within Randwick (1,292 people) - or nearby suburbs like South Sydney (212 people), Botany Bay (172 people) and Rockdale (118 people).

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Randwick 5 years ago

    This is a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in the Hurstville area 5 years ago. Yet again they have tended to move within Hurstville (1,284 people), or moved a bit further south to Kogarah (425 people), and then to surrounding areas like Canterbury (186 people), Rockdale (161 people) and South Bankstown (67 people).

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Hurstville 5 years ago

    This is a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in the Auburn area 5 years ago. The vast majority of them stayed in the Auburn area (1,098 people) - but a few generally towards suburbs to the West such as Strathfield (88 people), North-East Parramatta (82 people) and Burwood (70 people) - and also Ryde (93 people).

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Ashfield 5 years ago

    And finally here is a map of where Chinese people are now, who lived in the Ryde area 5 years ago. Yet again, they have tended to stay in the Ryde area (1,047 people). Others have moved to surrounding areas like Hornsby South or North-East Parramatta (both 253 people) - maybe also Ku-ring-gai (143 people). Notice also that they don't just remain North of the harbour: some will move to areas down South.

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney - lived in Ryde 5 years ago

    3. What's actually happening in Sydney

    The trend is pretty clear - Chinese people tend to stay within the same area, the vast majority moving to another address within the same Statistical Local Area (SLA). A good example here is Auburn, where 1,098 people moved to another area within Auburn. The next most popular destination after Auburn was less than one tenth that number (Ryde, 93 people).

    When the Chinese do move outside their SLA, they tend to move to nearby areas - often adjacent ones. A good example of this is Canterbury, where the numbers for Canterbury itself plus all the adjacent SLAs made up 2,495 people, or 55% of the total movements from Canterbury. There certainly aren't huge numbers making the jump across the harbour, leaving the "south to north" theory with little to stand on.

    The maps also show that Chinese people aren't moving in any one particular direction (ie. they aren't only moving South, from Canterbury). Instead they tend to be spreading out in all directions. This seems to knock the "out along train lines" theory on its head.

    This is actually good news for Chinese churches - which tend to be regional, rather than purely local churches. Yes, 31% of the people we come in contact with may move within five years (from the previous post) - but generally they will either move within the same area, or to surrounding areas. And so if they have transport, they may be able to keep coming to your church...

    [ PS: have people from your church moved recently? where have they moved? ]
    9/22/2009

    Chinese transitoriness in Sydney (part 1): who stays put, and who will move?

    Note: I made some errors in the initial post this morning (some categories were wrong). These have now been fixed up!

    OK, I know there's been a lot of statistics on this site lately, and some of you would rather I get back to writing on Chinese culture and Chinese ministry. But here are a few more...

    This time we are looking at Sydney's Chinese population in terms of how transient is this population. Have they been living at the same address for the last five years? or have they moved since then? Because, all things being equal, this can have a big impact on the ministry you have to them...

    Here is a map of Sydney (from the 2006 ABS census) showing you where there are large areas of Chinese who have stayed at the same address for the previous 5 years. This shows you large stable Chinese population areas.

    Transitoriness - same address 5 yrs ago

    And here is a map of Sydney showing you where there are large numbers of Chinese are who have moved at least once during the previous 5 years. This is the more transient Chinese population.

    Transitoriness - elsewhere in Australia 5 yrs ago

    Some of those area are just large areas of Chinese population in general - which is why they have both large numbers of people staying and moving. This next map shows you a comparison of stable vs. transient as a percentage. This shows you the percent of Chinese who have moved at least once during the past five years.

    Transitoriness - percent who lived elsewhere 5 yrs ago

    Surprisingly, quite a large proportion of Sydney's Chinese community are transient - over 31% had moved in the 5 years before the 2006 census!

    If what you have nearby is a fairly stable Chinese population, that can mean that in time you can build a fairly stable ministry of people who have been at your church for ten, twenty years. But if people tend to move, that may mean the ministry you create is a fairly fast-paced one that establishes and equips believers, for where they will later move onto (much like a university ministry). And you can find yourself quite frustrated if you're trying to build the first kind of ministry (stable), when the population around you is just not like that!

    If you're interested in the data for your area, here is the table:

     Statistical Local 
     Area
     Elsewhere in 
     Aust. 
     Elsewhere in 
     Aust. (pct) 
     Same as 
     in 2006  
     Same as 
     in 2006 (pct) 
     Statistical Local 
     Area
     Elsewhere in 
     Aust. 
     Elsewhere in  
     Aust. (pct) 
     Same as 
     in 2006  
     Same as 
     in 2006 (pct) 
     Botany Bay564 30.05% 1,313 69.95%  Holroyd 1,219 33.46% 2,424 66.54% 
     Leichhardt402 45.94% 473 54.06%  Parramatta - Inner 1,410 43.59% 1,825 56.41% 
     Marrickville829 28.41% 2,089 71.59%  Parramatta - North-East 1,723 34.91% 3,213 65.09% 
     Sydney - Inner1,038 49.36% 1,065 50.64%  Parramatta - North-West 507 29.55% 1,209 70.45% 
     Sydney - East582 47.01% 656 52.99%  Parramatta - South 443 25.03% 1,327 74.97% 
     Sydney - South1,305 52.26% 1,192 47.74%  Blue Mountains 118 34.20% 227 65.80% 
     Sydney - West1,362 54.33% 1,145 45.67%  Hawkesbury 86 34.68% 162 65.32% 
     Randwick2,503 32.90% 5,104 67.10%  Penrith - East 214 28.53% 536 71.47% 
     Waverley362 35.91% 646 64.09%  Penrith - West 153 25.98% 436 74.02% 
     Woollahra414 39.06% 646 60.94%  Blacktown - North 816 36.19% 1,439 63.81% 
     Hurstville3,912 36.38% 6,840 63.62%  Blacktown - South-East 711 26.80% 1,942 73.20% 
     Kogarah2,342 37.80% 3,853 62.20%  Blacktown - South-West 213 21.30% 787 78.70% 
     Rockdale2,102 31.38% 4,596 68.62%  Hunter's Hill 234 43.82% 300 56.18% 
     Sutherland Shire - East575 30.67% 1,300 69.33%  Lane Cove 519 30.40% 1,188 69.60% 
     Sutherland Shire - West390 21.20% 1,450 78.80%  Mosman 183 37.35% 307 62.65% 
     Bankstown - North-East845 27.83% 2,191 72.17%  North Sydney 1,157 46.60% 1,326 53.40% 
     Bankstown - North-West831 23.88% 2,649 76.12%  Ryde 3,151 31.63% 6,811 68.37% 
     Bankstown - South655 28.02% 1,683 71.98%  Willoughby 2,664 38.67% 4,225 61.33% 
     Canterbury3,407 27.74% 8,877 72.26%  Baulkham Hills - Central 1,392 31.87% 2,976 68.13% 
     Fairfield - East3,092 22.01% 10,958 77.99%  Baulkham Hills - North 669 46.11% 782 53.89% 
     Fairfield - West900 15.49% 4,912 84.51%  Baulkham Hills - South 1,417 24.73% 4,314 75.27% 
     Liverpool - East521 22.79% 1,765 77.21%  Hornsby - North 834 21.61% 3,026 78.39% 
     Liverpool - West692 24.60% 2,121 75.40%  Hornsby - South 2,700 33.69% 5,315 66.31% 
     Camden145 30.21% 335 69.79%  Ku-ring-gai 1,817 23.80% 5,817 76.20% 
     Campbelltown - North370 27.69% 966 72.31%  Manly 193 35.41% 352 64.59% 
     Campbelltown - South237 30.78% 533 69.22%  Pittwater 99 27.05% 267 72.95% 
     Wollondilly59 46.83% 67 53.17%  Warringah 921 29.08% 2,246 70.92% 
     Ashfield1,397 35.91% 2,493 64.09%  Gosford - East 92 34.07% 178 65.93% 
     Burwood1,416 34.09% 2,738 65.91%  Gosford - West 224 41.33% 318 58.67% 
     Canada Bay - Concord994 41.13% 1,423 58.87%  Wyong - North-East 113 40.94% 163 59.06% 
     Canada Bay - Drummoyne455 36.03% 808 63.97%  Wyong - South and West 141 39.50% 216 60.50% 
     Strathfield1,468 36.45% 2,559 63.55%  Total 65,203 31.55% 141,468 68.45% 
     Auburn2,904 31.32% 6,368 68.68%  

    [ PS: how stable is the Chinese population around your church's area? And what sort of population is your church geared to reach - transient or stable? ]
    9/14/2009

    Tutorial: how to make a hotmap of ABCs in your suburb

    Today I want to share with you how to go about getting useful stats on your area from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Because while I can do city-wide stats and maps, there is much more useful and detailed stuff you can find out about the area around your church - but you will have to do it yourself! But here's how to do it.

    Understand ABS geography

    First of all, you need to understand that there is a heirarchy of geographical areas used by the ABS. Probably the more important ones for you to know about are the following:

    • Major Statistical Region (MSR) - such as a whole city (eg. Sydney, Melbourne)
    • Statistical District (SD) - such as a region within the city (eg. St George-Sutherland)
    • Statistical Local Area (SLA) - roughly equivalent in size to a local government area (eg. Hurstville)
    • Census Collection District (CCD) - the area covered by one census collector - perhaps two or three blocks in size.
    CCDs are the smallest area you can zoom in to - and today we'll see how to get a map of down to the level of CCDs of Australian Born Chinese living in your suburb!

    Step one - get into CDATA

    01: Click on Census data Go to the Australian Bureau of Statistics website at http://www.abs.gov.au/ 
    Under 'National statistics' on the left hand side menu bar, click on 'Census data'.
    02: Click on 2006 CDATA Then scroll down to the bottom left of the page, and click on '2006 CDATA online'.
    03: Enter CDATA Click on the blue 'Enter CDATA online' button, which will open a new window. 
    04: Login / register Here you can either register (which is free, and allows you to save the tables you have created for later on) - or just log in as a guest (if you don't need to save your tables).

    Step two - select CCDs in your area

    05: New table Select the first button to create a new table, then 'Next'.
    06: By location Select the first button: 'CDATA by location', then 'Next'.
    07: Click on CCD In the dropdown list select 'Census Collection District'.
    This will then bring up a new page which allows you to select which CCDs you want.
    08: Click on Blue link to select all Husrtville CCDs Click the '+' next to 'by Statistical Divison'.
    Then the '+' next to 'Australia'.
    Then 'NSW', then 'Sydney', then 'St George-Sutherland', then 'Hurstville (C)'.
    Then click on the blue 'Select all CCDs in Hurstville (C)' - this will put a checkmark in all the CCDs under Hurstville. It will also update the map, showing you the area you've selected.
    Click on the 'Next' button.

    Step three - select ABCs

    09: Click on Topic dropdown list Now you have to select what info you want for this area.
    On the next page, select 'Birthplace and ancestry' on the dropdown list.
    10: Click on Customised table Then 'Create my own ethnicity table', then click the 'Next' button.
    11: Go to bottom of page This creates a table of CCDs, broken up into male / female - which is not what we want, but we can fix that. So go right to the bottom of the page...
    12: Click on Customise table ...and click on the 'Customise table' link.
    This will bring up a panel on the left hand side.
    13: Click on Ancestry tree In this left hand side panel, click on the '+' next to 'Ethnicity classifications'.
    Then the '+' next to 'Ancestry'.
    Then the '+' next to 'Ancestry 1st response'.
    Then the '+' next to 'North-east Asian'.
    14: Select Ancestry = Chinese Asian Tick 'Chinese Asian'.
    15: Add to column Then click 'Add to column'.
    The table on the right hand side will have updated to also contain 'Chinese Asian' in the column, under 'Sex'.
    16: Drag 'Sex' column to bin Now we can get rid of that Sex column.
    Mouse over the 'Sex male/female' heading on the table until it is orange - then drag it to the metal rubbish bin and drop it there.
    17: Table of Chinese in Hurstville That will remove the sex column from the table.
    This leaves us with a table of Chinese Asians in Hurstville, by CCDs!
    18: Select Birthplace = Australia Now we are going to add another column to narrow this to Chinese Asians who are born in Australia - the ABCs.
    So on the left hand panel, click on the '+' next to Birthplace.
    Then the '+' next to 'Country of birth of person'.
    Then the '+' next to 'Birthplace'.
    Then tick 'Australia', and click 'Add to column'.
    19: Birthplace added! This adds a Birthplace column to the table under the Ancestry column... but the table looks like it's blank!
    20: Retrieve data To fix this, click the 'Retrieve data' button.
    Behold, you now have a table of ABCs, by Hurstville CCDs!

    Step 4 - create a map

    21: Map view tab But where are these CCDs? We can make a map of this data.
    At the top of the page will be a tab called 'Map view'.
    Select that...
    22: Edit map features ...and it puts that data into a hotmap of Hurstville!
    But it's pretty hard to see the map because of all those numbers.
    Uncheck 'Geography names' in the 'Add / Remove Map Features' box...
    23: Update map ...and click 'Update map'.
    That will get rid of the numbers, giving you a clean map.
    24: Zoom in Beneath the map is a magnifying glass icon.
    Click that, and use your mouse to draw a rectangle around the area you'd like to zoom into, or the hand to move the centre of the map about.
    Use a screen grab program to save that map (that's what I do) - or you can use the dropdown menu at the top right to save that map as a .PDF file or .PNG image.

    This gives you a map of the ABCs in your area down to CCDs - great for doorknocking, leafletting the area, or planning your church plant! 

    Some clarifications thanks to Pauline Hor!

    [ PS: great to see some of you guys at the SCCCA English SALT retreat on the weekend! ]
    9/11/2009

    ABCs in Melbourne

    David Huynh recently asked me to put together some maps and stats on the Chinese in Melbourne for the upcoming Connect conference - and here is one of them. He has a whole lot more. This is a map of the ABCs in Melbourne.

    Map of ABCs in Melbourne

    In the 2006 ABS, there were 174,289 people of Chinese ancestry in Melbourne, of which 36,910 were born in Australia - the ABCs!

    [ PS: heading off to SALT retreat in Katoomba in a few hours! ]
    9/6/2009

    Life stages part II - pie graphs of ABCs in your area

    In the last post there was a table with information about the numbers of ABCs in different life stages, for each Statistical Local Area (SLA). And we used that to make maps of Sydney showing which areas have more primary schoolers, etc. Awesomely useful for ministry.

    Something else you can do is use that to give you a snapshot of the ABCs in your area, in terms of the proportion of life stages. Here is a pie graph for the ABCs in the Ryde SLA (which contains North Epping).

    ABC demographic pie graph for Ryde - 2006
    But how does that compare to the rest of Sydney? What you can then do is compare that to this next graph, which shows you the proportion of those life stages for all ABCs in Sydney.

    ABC demographic pie graph for Sydney - 2006
    In comparison, here is the pie graph for Fairfield East, which has noticeably younger ABCs than the rest of Sydney.

    ABC demographic pie graph for Fairfield East - 2006
    And here is the graph for Hurstville, which again shows you a young group of ABCs, but more weighted towards the pre-school and primary school age brackets.

    ABC demographic pie graph for Hurstville - 2006
    Unfortunately you'll have to develop your own pie graphs for your own area, but that's not too difficult. Just use the data from the previous post.

    But what this kind of graph can do is tell you how much of the ABC population your ministry is able to reach. If your ABC ministry only focusses on tertiary age and young workers, it could mean that you are actually missing over 75% of the ABC population of your area! And Sydney-wide, one of the surprising things is how large the ABC pre-school and primary school age groups are in most areas...

    [ PS: what kind of ministry does your church need to start up to reach the ABCs in your area? ]
    9/3/2009

    Life stages part I - maps of Sydney's ABCs

    Today I have maps of the ABCs in Sydney again - and admittedly, it's kind of similar to the last post. But this time what I've done is I've broken the data down into different life stages.

    Because realistically, no one starts out a ministry to reach 10-19 year olds! Instead we aim for "primary schoolers", or "high schoolers", or "uni age people" and we conduct their outreach and ministry along those lines. Well then, where then do these groups of ABCs live?

    This first map shows you where 0-5 year old ABCs live. These are babies, toddlers, and pre-schoolers.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 0-5 yrs - 2006

    This second one is where 6-11 year old ABCs live. These kids are in primary school.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney aged 6-11 yrs - 2006

    This next group are the 12-17 year old ABCs. These guys are your high schoolers. Be aware that sometimes high schoolers do travel outside their area to go to school.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 12-17 yrs - 2006

    This next one is where 18-21 year old ABCs live. You can think of this group as tertiary age - Uni or TAFE. Although of course not everyone will go on into tertiary education after school.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 18-21 yrs - 2006

    This one is where 22-29 year old ABCs live. You can think of this group as young workers.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 22-29 yrs - 2006

    This is where 30-39 year old ABCs live (it's the same map as the last post). This is getting a bit tricky becuase not everyone will marry or have kids - but by and large these are young marrieds and young families (apologies if I offend anyone!!!).

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 30-39 yrs - 2006

    And finally we have the 40+ year old ABCs again (the same map as from last time). Some people might consider these the oldies, even though they're not necessarily very old compared to the population as a whole.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 40+ yrs - 2006

    From these maps you can see that areas that are prominent for primary schoolers (eg. Hurstville, Canterbury, Fairfield East) are not necessarily the same areas that would be prominent for marrieds (eg. Ryde, Randwick). Don't expect that your ABC ministry should look like another one on the other side of the city - that's simply not realistic! Instead, the kinds of ministries you want to develop to reach your ABC community is likely to be different from area to area.

    If you're interested in the actual figures underlying these maps, here is a table with this data. Again, I've highlighted the most significant areas for each stage of life.

     Statistical Local Area  Babies, toddlers, 
     preschoolers 
     Primary
     schoolers 
     High
     schoolers 
     Tertiary 
     age 
     Young
     workers 
     Young marrieds 
     and families 
     "Older" 
     group
     
     Botany Bay  126 120 120 64 71 33 32 
     Leichhardt  78 50 26 20 89 79 72 
     Marrickville  203 179 173 83 167 116 69 
     Sydney - Inner 90 39 27 35 89 24 14 
     Sydney - East 23 15 32 20 112 68 46 
     Sydney - South 136 74 67 54 165 85 25 
     Sydney - West 126 85 75 75 164 93 38 
     Randwick  398 397 430 234 339 170 181 
     Waverley  57 68 40 24 51 78 66 
     Woollahra  74 53 64 29 62 70 60 
     Hurstville  873 956 560 200 233 125 104 
     Kogarah  525 499 287 113 146 54 103 
     Rockdale  435 537 337 134 156 80 111 
     Sutherland Shire - East 102 132 139 64 68 52 84 
     Sutherland Shire - West 110 149 156 84 99 42 88 
     Bankstown - North-East 222 292 212 82 55 15 19 
     Bankstown - North-West 305 331 298 121 92 16 36 
     Bankstown - South 197 226 150 63 46 33 40 
     Canterbury  1,036 1,032 705 301 293 85 134 
     Fairfield - East 1,146 1,306 1,208 510 388 30 33 
     Fairfield - West 413 507 573 304 262 16 26 
     Liverpool - East 155 213 186 85 84 26 36 
     Liverpool - West 345 316 244 108 81 13 10 
     Camden  56 43 31 21 15 12 14 
     Campbelltown - North 118 123 91 53 49 15 25 
     Campbelltown - South 63 66 56 25 29 14 22 
     Wollondilly  19 17 12 14 
     Ashfield  329 266 197 70 92 43 58 
     Burwood  248 345 238 100 134 50 65 
     Canada Bay - Concord 170 174 133 70 113 54 65 
     Canada Bay - Drummoyne 117 80 69 41 45 75 66 
     Strathfield  187 326 294 123 171 52 84 
     Auburn  742 740 556 272 190 43 33 
     Holroyd  355 334 216 73 77 31 58 
     Parramatta - Inner 270 220 80 38 62 20 23 
     Parramatta - North-East 400 506 267 78 96 53 69 
     Parramatta - North-West 142 178 110 46 33 14 30 
     Parramatta - South 156 147 110 40 37 15 
     Blue Mountains  40 24 18 12 25 31 53 
     Hawkesbury  32 24 22 12 15 13 23 
     Penrith - East 54 66 48 26 30 21 31 
     Penrith - West 36 46 61 26 21 22 31 
     Blacktown - North 185 183 150 67 74 32 26 
     Blacktown - South-East 204 228 165 62 67 27 34 
     Blacktown - South-West 92 81 69 23 22 12 22 
     Hunter's Hill  38 36 50 15 20 26 14 
     Lane Cove  135 148 95 44 64 33 44 
     Mosman  40 30 21 10 14 28 31 
     North Sydney  163 119 77 42 184 122 80 
     Ryde  737 806 533 238 264 202 154 
     Willoughby  436 392 281 137 216 173 139 
     Baulkham Hills - Central 315 426 340 118 126 58 92 
     Baulkham Hills - North 118 129 99 48 56 29 45 
     Baulkham Hills - South 297 585 438 136 138 47 58 
     Hornsby - North 185 300 308 103 94 50 67 
     Hornsby - South 522 702 461 157 184 91 107 
     Ku-ring-gai  406 589 587 224 247 142 255 
     Manly  32 42 33 23 20 21 31 
     Pittwater  28 33 22 11 22 15 53 
     Warringah  193 292 161 100 120 109 106 
     Gosford - East 25 21 30 18 19 17 47 
     Gosford - West 51 50 32 15 23 32 41 
     Wyong - North-East 25 23 27 21 12 24 37 
     Wyong - South and West 36 26 37 15 18 11 46 
     Total 14,959 16,544 12,739 5,563 6,553 3,286 3,735 

    [ PS: what life stages are your ABC ministry targetting? what are the ABCs like in the area near your church? ]
    9/1/2009

    Maps of Sydney's ABCs - by age groups!

    In a previous post I showed you where all the Australian Born Chinese (ABCs) live in Sydney - and hopefully that's been useful for planning your ministry. What I have for you today is a series of maps that break that group of ABCs down into age brackets - so you can see where 0-9 year old ABCs live, where 10-19 year old ABCs live, and so on. Because different areas of Sydney will have different kinds of ABCs living there...

    First off a map showing you where 0-9 year old ABCs live.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney aged 0-9 yrs - 2006

    Second a map showing you where 10-19 year old ABCs live.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney aged 10-19 yrs - 2006

    Then where 20-29 year old ABCs live...

    Map of ABCs in Sydney aged 20-29 yrs - 2006

    And where 30-39 year old ABCs live.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 30-39 yrs - 2006

    And finally I've grouped all the 40+ year old ABCs together (because there aren't so many of them). Here is where you can find them.

    Map of ABCs in Sydney - 40+ yrs - 2006

    These maps show you how distinctive the different areas of Sydney are in terms of their ABC population. Some areas (such as the South and South-West) have very dense populations of younger ABCs. And other areas (such as the North and the East) have strong concentrations of ABCs in their 30's.

    Interesting also is how certain areas can be very strong in a number of different age brackets. Fairfield East, for instance, is in the very topmost category for the 0-9 year, 10-19 year, and the 20-29 year age bracket. This is a significant area for doing ABC ministry!

    In case you want to look at the actual data underlying these maps, here is a table with all that data. I've highlighted in bold the topmost categories in each of the age brackets.

     Statistical Local Area  0-9 yrs  10-19 yrs  20-29 yrs  30-39 yrs  40+ yrs 
     Botany Bay  205 181 110 33 32 
     Leichhardt  110 63 91 80 72 
     Marrickville  318 276 206 116 69 
     Sydney - Inner 116 51 112 25 14 
     Sydney - East 36 51 122 67 46 
     Sydney - South 196 109 193 85 25 
     Sydney - West 186 127 210 92 38 
     Randwick  663 687 444 170 181 
     Waverley  97 82 63 76 66 
     Woollahra  105 101 73 68 60 
     Hurstville  1,525 968 326 126 104 
     Kogarah  866 504 210 53 103 
     Rockdale  805 559 236 79 111 
     Sutherland Shire - East 183 223 103 51 84 
     Sutherland Shire - West 200 247 141 41 88 
     Bankstown - North-East 424 338 98 15 19 
     Bankstown - North-West 517 478 144 17 36 
     Bankstown - South 353 262 69 34 40 
     Canterbury  1,739 1,179 449 86 134 
     Fairfield - East 1,987 1,963 617 29 33 
     Fairfield - West 734 920 402 15 26 
     Liverpool - East 295 306 126 26 36 
     Liverpool - West 574 388 126 13 10 
     Camden  79 62 20 11 14 
     Campbelltown - North 196 161 76 16 25 
     Campbelltown - South 111 96 38 15 22 
     Wollondilly  18 25 11 14 
     Ashfield  502 327 128 44 58 
     Burwood  477 410 180 52 65 
     Canada Bay - Concord 299 226 145 55 65 
     Canada Bay - Drummoyne 167 121 68 75 66 
     Strathfield  401 464 236 53 84 
     Auburn  1,236 963 304 43 33 
     Holroyd  588 351 108 30 58 
     Parramatta - Inner 434 157 87 20 23 
     Parramatta - North-East 747 469 134 53 69 
     Parramatta - North-West 267 184 54 14 30 
     Parramatta - South 263 178 54 15 
     Blue Mountains  56 34 27 30 53 
     Hawkesbury  51 29 25 13 23 
     Penrith - East 99 81 43 21 31 
     Penrith - West 60 99 34 23 31 
     Blacktown - North 315 240 108 34 26 
     Blacktown - South-East 360 281 84 26 34 
     Blacktown - South-West 153 116 32 13 22 
     Hunter's Hill  60 68 30 26 14 
     Lane Cove  231 169 84 33 44 
     Mosman  57 39 21 27 31 
     North Sydney  237 140 202 121 80 
     Ryde  1,280 918 386 202 154 
     Willoughby  701 483 281 172 139 
     Baulkham Hills - Central 594 553 176 59 92 
     Baulkham Hills - North 203 171 79 28 45 
     Baulkham Hills - South 664 721 209 49 58 
     Hornsby - North 387 460 139 48 67 
     Hornsby - South 990 781 252 91 107 
     Ku-ring-gai  777 933 349 141 255 
     Manly  62 52 27 21 31 
     Pittwater  56 34 20 17 53 
     Warringah  400 296 170 109 106 
     Gosford - East 32 46 28 19 47 
     Gosford - West 84 62 24 31 41 
     Wyong - North-East 38 48 15 23 37 
     Wyong - South and West 52 49 24 12 46 

    Remember that this data is from the 2006 ABS census. Which means that we are now three years on - and so an eight year old kid at the 2006 census will now actually be in the next age bracket. However this is probably good enough to give you a sense of where things are happening!

    [ PS: does your ABC ministry reflect the mix of ABCs in the surrounding area? ]
    8/28/2009

    Profile of Catholic Australian Born Chinese

    1. Age profile of ABC Catholics vs. ABCs as a whole

    From a previous post we saw that 44% (or 23,700) of ABCs identified by the ABS as 'Christian' are, in fact, Roman Catholics. That's a huge figure - and today we're going to look a bit closer at that section of our mission field.

    First off we have a graph showing the age profile of ABCs as a whole (black), compared to the age profile of Catholic ABCs (red). They map to different scales to the left and the right of the graph.

    Age profile of Catholic vs all ABCs - 2006
    This graph helps us to compare the shape of the two graphs - and from it you can see that Catholic ABCs tend to lack kids in the 0-9 years age bracket in comparison to ABCs as a whole, but slightly lead the ABC graph in the 15-49 age range.

    This next graph shows them on the same scale.

     Age profile of Catholics vs. all ABCs - 2006

    Note that this is all ABCs - including those that are Buddhists, 'Other religions', and the very significant 'No religion'. That's why the red line looks so low here.

    2. Age profile of ABC Catholics vs. 'Christian' ABCs

    In these next two graphs I've compared ABC Catholics to the whole 'Christian' group of ABCs. This first one gives you a comparison of the two graph shapes, showing that ABC Catholics tend to be slightly older than the 'Christian' ABC group as a whole.

    Age profile of Catholics vs. Christian ABCs - 2006

    And here I've plotted that graph on the same scale.

    Age profile of Catholics vs. Christian ABCs - 2006

    You can see that the red line is much more significant here - it represents 44% of the area under the black line! Although again you can actually see it tends to be stronger in the middle of the age range, and weaker in the younger age ranges.

    3. The background of ABC Catholics

    What is the background of these Catholic ABCs? The remaining two graphs are of Overseas Born Chinese (OBCs), not Australian Born Chinese (ABCs). However going on the assumption that many people retain the religion of their parents, from this we can see what kind of background these ABC Catholics are likely to have.

    So here is a graph showing the region of birth of OBC Catholics. Note that it's a logarithmic graph because some of the figures were very large in comparison to others (eg. Maritime South-East Asia compared to Central and Western Africa).

    Region of birth of OBC Catholics - log - 2006

    You can see that the significant regions of birth for OBC Catholics are: Maritime South-East Asia (25,228), Chinese Asia (17,780), Mainland South-East Asia (2,586), Melanesia (1,629), Southern and East Africa (1,492) and 'Not stated' (1,383).

    In this last graph I've zoomed into those more significant regions for OBC Catholics and broken them down into countries. This one is a linear graph.

    Country of birth of OBC Catholics - selected - 2006

    From this you can see the kind of countries that OBC Catholics have predominantly come from - which then suggests the background for their ABC kids. And the stand-out countries are: Hong Kong (9,436), Indonesia (8,354), Malaysia (7,911), and China (7,152). This is followed by Singapore (3,887), the Philippines (2,822), East Timor (1,994), Vietnam (1,922), PNG (1,439) and Mauritius (1,081).

    [ PS: know many Chinese Catholics? what countries did their family come from? ]
    8/26/2009

    Map of where recent Chinese migrants live in Sydney

    If you want to reach out to recent Chinese migrants, where would you do it? Here is a map, constructed using 2006 ABS census data, that shows where Chinese who migrated to Australia during the first half of 2006 were living. The map highlights how prominent the Ryde and Randwick areas are in terms of recent Chinese migrants (ancestry = Chinese; year of migration = 2006).

    Photobucket

    Here is a table with the actual numbers of Chinese migrants. I have highlighted the areas with significant numbers of migrants. Note that the ABS census was conducted part-way through 2006, so it's a little dated, and doesn't represent figures for the whole of 2006. More recent data on migrants can be found at the Dept. of Immigration website (as recent as the past financial year) - but no pretty maps to look at!

    Statistical Local AreaChinese migrantsStatistical Local AreaChinese migrants
    Botany Bay 51Holroyd 61
    Leichhardt 24Parramatta - Inner103
    Marrickville 70Parramatta - North-East60
    Sydney - Inner190Parramatta - North-West20
    Sydney - East51Parramatta - South32
    Sydney - South152Blue Mountains 21
    Sydney - West196Hawkesbury 8
    Randwick 525Penrith - East6
    Waverley 24Penrith - West4
    Woollahra 30Blacktown - North19
    Hurstville 250Blacktown - South-East30
    Kogarah 171Blacktown - South-West22
    Rockdale 130Hunter's Hill 3
    Sutherland Shire - East7Lane Cove 15
    Sutherland Shire - West14Mosman 7
    Bankstown - North-East45North Sydney 53
    Bankstown - North-West30Ryde 361
    Bankstown - South23Willoughby 213
    Canterbury 193Baulkham Hills - Central19
    Fairfield - East92Baulkham Hills - North10
    Fairfield - West18Baulkham Hills - South57
    Liverpool - East15Hornsby - North31
    Liverpool - West5Hornsby - South136
    Camden 0Ku-ring-gai 91
    Campbelltown - North10Manly 21
    Campbelltown - South5Pittwater 0
    Wollondilly 0Warringah 56
    Ashfield 200Gosford - East0
    Burwood 143Gosford - West3
    Canada Bay - Concord42Wyong - North-East0
    Canada Bay - Drummoyne11Wyong - South and West3
    Strathfield 63
    Auburn 164

    [ PS: where is your church on the map? and how is it going at reaching out to recent Chinese migrants? ]
    8/25/2009

    How are we going at reaching the ABCs?

    Here are some more stats, generated by the CDATA section of the ABS website. We're looking at the Australian Born Chinese (ABCs), and this time we'll see how they define themselves in terms of religions. This'll give us an insight into how we're going at reaching the ABCs - and what challenges lie ahead!

    Before we get to the ABCs, this first pie graph shows you the religion of all people of Chinese ancestry, whether born here or overseas. You can see that 29.8% of all Chinese identify themselves as some kind of Christian.
    Religion of Chinese - 2006
    This next pie graph however, is just ABCs - those people of Chinese ancestry, but who were born here in Australia. And of these ABCs, 37.5% identify themselves as some kind of Christian. But exactly what kind of Christian are we talking about here?

    Religion of ABCs - 2006
    In this next pie graph we zoom in on those 53,907 ABCs who identified themselves as being a Christian of some sort. And from this you can see what kind of Christian denomination they identified with.

    Religion of ABCs - detail of Christian religions - 2006
    The following table gives you the actual number of ABCs in each of these sub categories. Note that these figures are for the whole of Australia.

     Religion Number  Religion Number 
     Christian, no further description 3,575  Pentecostal2,154 
     Anglican9,639  Seventh Day Adventists 268 
     Baptist4,047  Catholic23,700 
     Brethren60  Jehovah's Witnesses360 
     Churches of Christ352  Latter Day Saints258 
     Lutheran418  Oriental Orthodox15 
     Presbyterian and Reformed 3,038  Assyrian Apostolic
     Salvation Army210  Eastern Orthodox739 
     Uniting church4,134 
     Other Protestant874 
     Other Christian66 

    Not surprisingly, the largest unreached segment of the ABC demographic are the 'No religion' section. Most of our outreach and apologetics will need to be developed with that in mind. But what surprised me most about these figures was how many ABCs describe themselves as being Catholics - 23,700 ABCs, or 44% of the 'Christian' category - and is still to be reached with the gospel!

    [ PS: any other reflections on this data? ]
    8/23/2009

    Maps of the Chinese in Brisbane

    Here I am in sunny Brisbane for BLT+! And to celebrate that small fact, here are some maps that might be useful for those doing ministry amongst the Chinese in Brisbane.

    First off, a map of where people of Chinese ancestry are in Brisbane. There are 47,842 people of Chinese ancestry up here!

    Brisbane map of Chinese - SLA - 2006

    Next is a map of where the ABCs are in Brisbane. Out of all the people up here of Chinese ancestry, there are 10,260 who were actually born in Australia.

    Photobucket

    And finally, here is a map of where recent Chinese migrants are living in Brisbane. In the year leading up to the 2006 ABS census, there were 1,555 Chinese people who migrated to Brisbane.

    Photobucket

    And how are things going by way of reaching out to the Chinese in Brisbane? Here is a pie graph showing you that 32.9% of the Chinese in Brisbane identify themselves as some kind of Christian...
    Photobucket
    [ PS: had a great time at BLT+ this year! ]
    8/21/2009

    Map of where ABCs live in Sydney

    Here is a map of where Australian Born Chinese (ABCs) live in Sydney, generated from the CDATA section of the ABS website.

    Sydney map of where ABCs live - by SLA - 2006

    And here are the actual numbers for you, in a table. I've highlighted the areas with particularly high numbers of ABCs.

    Statistical Local AreaABCs Statistical Local AreaABCs
    Botany Bay 564Holroyd 1,140
    Leichhardt 409Parramatta - Inner717
    Marrickville 987Parramatta - North-East1,471
    Sydney - Inner313Parramatta - North-West552
    Sydney - East318Parramatta - South514
    Sydney - South614Blue Mountains 198
    Sydney - West655Hawkesbury 138
    Randwick 2,143Penrith - East275
    Waverley 381Penrith - West245
    Woollahra 409Blacktown - North725
    Hurstville 3,047Blacktown - South-East787
    Kogarah 1,739Blacktown - South-West337
    Rockdale 1,788Hunter's Hill 196
    Sutherland Shire - East646Lane Cove 564
    Sutherland Shire - West710Mosman 171
    Bankstown - North-East892North Sydney 776
    Bankstown - North-West1,193Ryde 2,942
    Bankstown - South761Willoughby 1,777
    Canterbury 3,586Baulkham Hills - Central1,475
    Fairfield - East4,628Baulkham Hills - North528
    Fairfield - West2,096Baulkham Hills - South1,708
    Liverpool - East787Hornsby - North1,102
    Liverpool - West1,114Hornsby - South2,221
    Camden 188Ku-ring-gai 2,455
    Campbelltown - North475Manly 196
    Campbelltown - South286Pittwater 179
    Wollondilly 69Warringah 1,083
    Ashfield 1,060Gosford - East171
    Burwood 1,180Gosford - West243
    Canada Bay - Concord790Wyong - North-East168
    Canada Bay - Drummoyne489Wyong - South and West184
    Strathfield 1,241
    Auburn 2,582

    This map shows you the areas where we definitely need Chinese churches to be establishing second-generation ministries! And from this you can already see what a huge need there is, particularly in the South-West of Sydney...

    [ PS: where is your church on the map? ]
    8/19/2009

    Age profile of the Australian Born Chinese

    The ABS has made available some amazing technology - which means that I can now create graphs from disparate bits of data (called CDATA). Kind of boring for you... but very, very exciting for me.

    And here's the cash value: from this we can find out things like how many ABCs there actually are in Australia, by correlating (a) ancestry = Chinese, and (b) place of birth = Australia. In Australia there are 630,598 people who identified themselves as having Chinese ancestry. And of these, 143,678 were born in Australia - the Australian Born Chinese.

    We can also get an age breakup for this group, and so here in this first graph, we have the age profile of these 143,678 ABCs in Australia as a whole.
    Age profile of ABCs - 2006

    This next graph shows you the breakup of these ABCs for the different states and territories.
    Age profile of ABCs by state - 2006
    You can see that the majority of ABCs are in NSW and VIC, and are in the under 30 age groups. Here is a table with the age data.

    State Age
    0-45-910-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-8485-8990-9495-99100+
    NSW126991455713233913562983571218115931259919716589388262244173143824954
    VIC728979317793575236861975119392463052843230718612111511091572440
    QLD25492483258019861478105678464861650642631524116013510775391680
    SA80180281477857728115211785595749331961263330
    WA1867178018971753111063933424921926125915259522312128600
    TAS102929286776176607065705627232319104300
    NT2022142151691179975967059433635282114140000
    ACT4093903603062341629577524229241779730000
    Other24253216400097100000000000
    Total25942282742701619981135817844489037643010244620421528986672576454354193101204

    For comparison, here is the age profile of all people of Chinese ancestry - the big spike in the 20-24 age bracket being a result of overseas Chinese students!
    Age profile of Chinese ancestry - 2006

    As the ABCs move from their student years into the workforce, they will increasingly become a vocal and important segment of any Chinese church.

    How is your church going at paving the way for that new stage of your church's life?

    [ PS: more graphs coming soon... ]
    8/12/2009

    Pathways for overseas Chinese students in Australia

    The AEI divides the education sector into different areas: higher education, vocational training (VET), intensive English language study (ELICOS), schools, and 'other'.  And in 2008 the AEI published this study of the 'pathways' overseas students took through their studies in Australia - because not everyone just comes here to just do one kind of course...

    The study looked at students who began their studies in Australia in 2005, and tracked what they then did in subsequent years - whether they moved on to other sectors in subsequent years, or just stayed in the one sector (that's why it was only published in 2008) - their 'pathways'. And what I've done here is pulled the data about Chinese students out of the study, and made pie graphs out of them.

    First off, a pie graph showing you the proportion of single-sector, and multi-sector pathways for students from China.
    Single and multi sector pathways - China - 2005
    What is immediately obvious is that Chinese students who began their studies in 2005 didn't just stay in one sector: the majority of them (71.3%) actually take on a multi-sector pathway during their time here in Australia.

    Next is a pie graph showing you a breakdown of those Chinese students commencing studies in 2005 who only took single-sector pathways.
    Single sector pathways breakdown - China - 2005

    Not surprisingly, the majority of those were in higher education (3283 students) - and presumably doing a course of study that will see them studying in Australia for several years.

    This third pie graph shows you the breakdown of the multi-sector pathways taken by Chinese students.
    Multi sector pathways breakdown - China - 2005
    Obviously, ELICOS courses are seen as an important foundation for further study, with many adding it to school or, more popularly, a higher education course. But from this you can also start to get a sense of how significant the Higher education sector factors in multiple pathways.

    This is significant in that it reveals how long students from China stay in Australia for their education. Over 53% of students will be here for at least three or more years - these are the ones doing Higher education courses, or a mixture of other courses plus Higher education (thereby extending their stay even longer). In fact the majority will actually be staying for a longer time than it takes to do a standard undergraduate degree, with only 19.2% of Chinese students doing Higher education alone, compared to 28.0% doing ELICOS-Higher education.

    [ PS: how intentional is your ministry at reaching and discipling Chinese students in the few years they are with us? ]
    8/1/2009

    Foreign students in Australia 2009

    Okay, got some more graphs for you today on overseas students, from data released last month by Australian Education International (AEI, get the actual figures here).

    This first bar graph shows you the numbers of students from six Asian countries (these six countries have been targeted by AEI as part of the "Study In Australia 2010" campaign).

    Education commencements by nationality - 2007-2009
    China is obviously still leading the way in sending the largest number of students to Australia with 43,218 students enrolled in May 2009 (followed by India with 32,157 students).

    However not all of them are uni students! And so this next bar graph shows you the breakdown of which education sector these 43,218 Chinese students are in.

    Education commencements by sector - China - 2007-2009
    The vast majority of them are in higher education (17,080 students). This year there are over 4,000 extraChinese students coming to study in higher education on top of the figures for last year! However while a lot of Chinese students commenced in higher education - this is masked by another sizeable group (11,162 students) who are studying an ELICOS course (English Language Intensive Courses for Overseas Students), usually in preparation for further study.

    For those interested in India, you can get a similar breakdown for Indian students at my Photobucket here (and the profile is signifiancty different, with many more VET students).

    Finally this third bar graph shows you the growth from 2008 to 2009 for five of those SIA countries, by sector. I have left India off this time, because including it distorts the graph somewhat. However if you really want to, you can see the complete graph (including India) on my Photobucket here.

    Growth in education by sector and nationality 2008-09 - without India
    So no major surprises for us this time around - just the same picture of even more Chinese students coming to Australia to study! But while all this growth is going on, how are we actually going at reaching them? what is your ministry doing about these overseas students?

    [ PS: coming up, the pathways that overseas Chinese students take... ]
    7/20/2009

    Migration in 2007-08 - and Indian ministry

    Here is a graph showing the top ten countries that people migrated from in 2007-08 (apart from New Zealand, which is treated separately by Immigration). And as you'd expect, Chinese migration is big - but did you know that there is another non-English speaking country that has even higher level of migration?
    Migration - top ten countries of birth - 2007-08
    In its annual report on migration, the Australian Department of Immigration made the following observation:

    The proportion of applicants from India increased in the 2007-08 program year. India has overtaken the People’s Republic of China as the second largest source country, with 14.0 per cent and 13.0 per cent of total outcome respectively. In terms of regions, the Indian subcontinent now provides 19.9 per cent of the Migration Program (an increase from 18.6 per cent in 2006-07).
    Report on Migration Program 2007–08, 6.

    The report also contained the following graph, showing the rise in migration from the Indian sub-continent since the late 1990's.

    Proportion of migration program - major regions - to 07-08

    And in terms of the graphs I've been posting up over the last few days, the estimated size of the Indian migrant community puts it in 5th place, after the PRC and Italy (in 3rd and 4th places respectively). Here is a table with stats on migrant communities from the South Asia region.

     Country of birth  Est. pop. size 
     Relative
     pop. ranking 
     Median age 
     Relative 
     median age 
     ranking 
     Sex ratio 
     Relative 
     sex ratio 
     ranking 
     India199,696 34.2 11 30.4 
     Sri Lanka74,313 16 42.9 32 4.7 26 
     Pakistan21,117 45 31.8 39.8 
     Bangladesh19,530 48 30.5 59.4 

    I write a lot about the need for Chinese ministry. Becuase even though there are about a hundred Chinese churches in Sydney, we still need more. There is also heaps of interest at the moment about Arabic ministry. But while there's a need for Chinese and Arabic ministry, there is actually a much greater need for Indian ministry!

    Are our current churches doing a teriffic job reaching out to Indians? Are there heaps of Indians in our churches? Scores of Indians going through ministry apprenticeships and Bible college? Unfortunately the answer is no on all these counts. Also particularly noticeable is that South Asian migrant communities come first, second and third out of all countries in terms of the proportion of males (Bangladesh, Pakistan and India respectively).

    While there is a big need for Chinese ministry, and a lot of interest in Arabic ministry, we are really behind the ball on Indian ministry!

    [ PS: how many South Asians live in your church's suburb? ]