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    7/31/2007

    Church leadership - reformation style

    There are some real giants in the Christian publishing world, especially when it comes to church leadership and church growth. There is Hybels, leader of the Willow Creek monolith. There is Warren, master of the Purpose Driven machine. And there is Maxwell, from the empire of Injoy. And a whole host of others: Cordero from New Hope, Houston from Hillsong, and Pringle from Christian City Church.
     
    These people are listened to because they have created large churches and have bold, exciting visions for their ministries. And they have some good things to say, don't get me wrong. But consider that the leadership achievements of modern-day leadership gurus actually shrink when you start to look backwards through church history - and see what has gone on beforehand.
     
    Consider Athanasius (293-373), bishop of Alexandria, who was practically the lone voice against a heresy overtaking the whole of the Christian church. Arianism was a popular heresy that said Jesus was an exalted being, but not actually divine. For his biblical stance he was exiled several times - but continued to teach and argue, until he finally won the day for biblical Christianity. Want to learn about church leadership? Well here is someone who turned around the whole of the Christian world from the brink of heresy!
     
    Consider Martin Luther (1483-1546), the German monk who launched the Continental Reformation. His strong and courageous stand against the excesses and false teachings of Medieval Roman Catholicism threatened his own life. Yet his bold personal example set a fire in Wittenberg that blazed across Europe. Want to learn about church leadership? Here is someone whose theology led to a bold and uncompromising life!
     
    Consider John Calvin (1509-1564), the second generation reformer, whose quiet ministry in Geneva gave the Reformation a rigorous theological backbone, and a portability that meant that the Reformation spread from Geneva to England, Scotland and the Netherlands. And Calvin's writings are still being read today. Want to learn about church leadership? Here was someone whose ministry had a truly international reach!
     
    People like Athanasius, Luther and Calvin didn't really write books on "church leadership" per se. I'm sure there's a book to be written about what we can learn from the giants in church history, on leadership and church growth. If you're in awe of Hybels, Warren and Maxwell, be aware that there have been even greater giants in the past! 
     
    [ PS: there are of course other great leaders from church history - who else can you think of? ]
    7/28/2007

    The Roman Catholic line on Protestants

    Image from ww.sxc.huSometimes people say to me, "aren't Catholics Christians as well?" After all, they read the same Bible, they believe much of the same things, and we agree with them on a lot of ethical issues.
     
    But in the last month news has been that the Roman Catholic Church has pronounced Protestant churches to be not true churches at all - and so it's now very obvious what they think of us. The Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith has sought to clarify their doctrine church (see it here), and in so doing they write the following:
    Question: Why do the texts of the Council and those of the Magisterium since the Council not use the title of “Church” with regard to those Christian Communities born out of the Reformation of the sixteenth century?
     
    Answer: According to Catholic doctrine, these Communities do not enjoy apostolic succession in the sacrament of Orders, and are, therefore, deprived of a constitutive element of the Church. These ecclesial Communities which, specifically because of the absence of the sacramental priesthood, have not preserved the genuine and integral substance of the Eucharistic Mystery cannot, according to Catholic doctrine, be called “Churches” in the proper sense.
    The stance of the Roman Catholic Church was made very clear after the Reformation at the Council of Trent (1545-63), where Catholic doctrine was clearly defined, and Protestant beliefs were clearly condemned. It was only in 1962-65 that the Vatican II council took a softer stance and proclaimed Protestants (and even Jews and Muslims) to be joined to the church. But for those short 50 years of liberalism, the Roman Catholic Church has maintained, and now has reiterated, its hard-line Tridentine stance.
     
    In the attached commentary (see it here) they elaborate:
    Despite the fact that this teaching has created no little distress in the communities concerned and even amongst some Catholics, it is nevertheless difficult to see how the title of “Church” could possibly be attributed to them, given that they do not accept the theological notion of the Church in the Catholic sense and that they lack elements considered essential to the Catholic Church.
     
    [...]
     
    Although the Catholic Church has the fullness of the means of salvation, “nevertheless, the divisions among Christians prevent the Church from effecting the fullness of catholicity proper to her in those of her children who, though joined to her by baptism, are yet separated from full communion with her.” The fullness of the Catholic Church, therefore, already exists, but still has to grow in the brethren who are not yet in full communion with it and also in its own members who are sinners “until it happily arrives at the fullness of eternal glory in the heavenly Jerusalem.” This progress in fullness is rooted in the ongoing process of dynamic union with Christ: “Union with Christ is also union with all those to whom he gives himself. I cannot possess Christ just for myself; I can belong to him only in union with all those who have become, or will become, his own. Communion draws me out of myself towards him, and thus also towards unity with all Christians.”
    For Roman Catholics, Christian unity involves Protestants rejoining themselves with the body of Christ - by which is meant the Roman Catholic church, with its apostolic succession. Until we do that, we aren't really considerd to be part of the true church...
     
    Some people have reacted with horror, saying that it has set back the ecumenical cause (ecumenism being the movement that tries to bring together all the different Christian religions). However the problem with ecumenism is that it puts organisational unity first - and doctrinal faithfulness much further down on the priorities.
     
    Christians sometimes say, "but Catholics are Christians too ... aren't they?" Officially they actually believe a different gospel. That has always been the case - and that has been clear as far back as the Council of Trent. The recent pronouncement from the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith has only restated that stance - and making it obvious that they really do believe in a different gospel.
     
    [ PS: what reaction have you noticed from grass-roots Roman Catholics? ]
    7/25/2007

    Operation World - online

    For many years Operation World, a book by Patrick Johnstone, has been a key tool in mobilising people to pray for missions. First published in 1964, it has gone through seven editions.
     
    Filled with statistics about the state of the gospel in every country, and prayer points for pray-ers, it has informed and guided the prayers of a generation of Christians.
     
    But did you know there is an Operation World website? However it allows you to get online information from the book/CD-ROM for only a few countries (eg. countries in the news, and today's country).
     
    Here are links to the full Operation World data from their website on Laos, China and Bolivia.
     
    But there is also now Operation World at 24-7prayer.com, which provides statistics and prayer information for all countries, though not as detailed as in the Operation World book or CD-ROM. You need to click on the 'links to more facts' right at the bottom of each country's page for the graphs and charts.
     
    Here are links to the cut-down data on 24-7prayer.com on Laos, China and Bolivia.
     
    While the amount and detail of information in Operation World can be a little overwhelming for a regular person, the 24-7prayer.com version is much more manageable, making it a great resource for your Bible study group or youth group.
     
    Use these two websites to inform your prayers, and the prayers of your group!
     
    [ PS: our Wednesday night leader's meetings recommence tonight! ]
    7/24/2007

    Asians at Moore College

    It took me a while to work out how to write a new blog post in this new version of MSN spaces. But here we are at last!
     
    In late August SCCCA English is hosting a dinner for Asian theological students and senior ministers from Chinese churches.
     
    This is a very exciting event - the idea here is that theologs can meet senior ministers and discover how great is the need for gospel workers in Chinese churches, to actually meet the people who are doing front-line ministries, and to find out the plans that these senior ministers have for the future. And it's also for the senior ministers to meet theological students and know the concerns that they have about working in Chinese churches.
     
    We hope that this will be a strategic event in facilitating networking and awareness of the need for many more people to serve in Chinese churches! More information from the SCCCA English website here.
     
    I went in to Moore College earlier to put invites for this dinner into the pigeon holes of the students. I printed off what I thought was plenty - but in the mail room I discovered that I had severely underestimated the number of Asian students at Moore College... I had to go back and print off some more invites!
     
    In 2007, there are over 50 theological students at Moore College who have Asian names. The following graph shows you the distribution across the four years.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

    Some will go overseas, others will end up serving in 'vanilla' church ministries. But hopefully a large proportion of these 50-odd students will find themselves serving long-term in Chinese church ministries on graduation. Chinese church ministry is a hard road - but it really is the best way for the 292,338 Chinese in Sydney to hear the gospel and be established in the faith!
     
    [ PS: the dinner will be held on 27th August and we hope it'll become an annual event! ] 

    7/15/2007

    One year to World Youth Day

    Exactly one year from today marks the start of the Roman Catholic Church's 2008 World Youth Day, to be held in Sydney.
     
    World Youth Day runs from 15th to 20th July 2008, and will involve thousands of young, passionate Roman Catholics flooding into our city - maybe even 500,000. Attendance at previous World Youth Days have numbered in the millions - 1.2 million at 2005's WYD in Cologne, 2 million at 2000's WYD in Rome, and 10 million at 1995's WYD in Manila!
     
    One year out from the 2008 WYD and it's already in the news - you might have heard about the arrival of the WYD cross and statue of Mary, which is now making its way around Australia. As the 2008 WYD approaches, you can expect that public interest and media attention will only increase - particularly given that, as part of the WYD festivities, Pope Benedict XVI will arrive in Sydney on 17th July 2008.
     
    Other things in the WYD schedule involve teaching sessions, stations of the cross, a pilgrimage walk, an evening vigil, a sleep-out under the stars, and concerts.
     
    With this international event happening in our city next year, we can expect it to have a major impact on our city. The young Roman Catholics who will be coming into our city will be energetic, excited, and motivated.
     
    The hype surrounding this event will probably lead many non Christians to become interested in Roman Catholicism. And Christians who don't have a solid understanding of the differences between Roman Catholicism and Protestantism may find themselves either attracted to this youthful expression of Roman Catholicism, or unable to answer the arguments of well-trained, motivated Roman Catholics.
      
    Geoff Folland writes that, "the threat for evangelical churches is that many of our members, especially our youth, are ignorant of the substantial differences that lie at the heart of the matter." He warns that "WYD theatens our churches both because the teaching has the potential to shipwreck the faith of some believers, and because the hype of such an event (including the almost celebrity-style attnetion the Pope's visit will receive) will attract many who do not think theologically."
     
    There are a number of things that Christian churches can do - expect to hear more about that in months to come.
     
    But for yourself, the most important thing is to have a good grasp of sound doctrine. Make sure you understand the gospel - and understand it well enough to defend it. Enrol in something like Moore College's Doctrine 1 PTC course, or their Reformation Church History PTC course. Learn about the differences between Roman Catholicism and Protestantism - and why it is we believe the things we do.
     
    And not only will this protect your faith, you'll also prepare yourself to reach out to your Roman Catholic friends.
     
    [ PS: stay tuned for more about Roman Catholicism... ]
    7/9/2007

    Immigration stats 2005-2006

    The last short while we've been looking at some stats from the ABS. But that's not the only place where you can get stats. And for those of us involved in Chinese church ministry, another gold-edged source of information is the Department of Immigration website here. They put all kinds of valuable statistics on immigration here - and right now you can see stats for the 2005-2006 financial year.
     
    The following bar graph shows you the different levels of immigration according to different countries of birth. The different colours represent different categories of immigration - red for settlers, green for long term residents returning to Australia, and blue for long term visitors arriving. 

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    Australia received the most number of settlers from the United Kingdom, New Zealand, and India. However you can also see that once you take long term visitors into account, China leaps to the forefront.
     
    I did a similar graph last year, from the Department of Immigration's '04-05 immigration data (though it only showed settlers, see previous post). The numbers of settlers from China have dropped a little in the '05-06 period, but they are still considerable: there were 10,581 settlers who arrived from China (down from 11,095 in '04-05), and 34,345 long term visitors from China. By comparison, the number of arrivals from Hong Kong is tiny - only 1,031 settlers were born in Hong Kong.
     
    So for Chinese churches, there's lots more work ahead of us each year!
     
    [ PS: the big green bar on the far left is Australian born residents returning to Australia... ]
    7/7/2007

    Make your own stats

    So maybe you've found these stats interesting, but some of them don't relate to your church situation. Perhaps your church isn't in the Epping-Marsfield-Eastwood area - or isn't even in Sydney! How do you go about getting your own stats?
     
    In this post I'll walk you through the relatively painless process of getting some basic stats from the ABS 2006 census data. 
    Step 1 Go to the ABS website (www.abs.gov.au) and click on 'census' in the menu bar along the top. Click on 'census'

    Step 2 On the next page, click on 'census tables'.

    'Quick stats' isn't necessarily the detailed data that you want - it's more general demographcs information.

    'Map stats' can be useful for a city-wide or state-wide area, but may not provide the resolution that you want for your suburb. However it's useful for getting a feel of your city.

    Click on 'census tables'

    Step 3 There are two radio buttons - I've clicked on 'census table by location'. Then click 'Next'.

    Select data by location

    Step 4 Type in the location you're after, and click 'Search'. I this case I've put in 'Hurstville' in the search box.

    You could also put in locations such as 'Australia', 'NSW', 'Brisbane', or just a postcode.

    Enter location

    Step 5 You now get a list of locations that match 'Hurstville'. In this instance there are a few, including 'Hurstville (Local Government Area)', 'Hurstville (Statistical Local Area)', 'Husrtville (State Suburb)', 'Hurstville Grove', and 'South Hurstville'.

    As you click on them, you also get a map of the area that data covers.

    In this case I'm going for 'Hurstville (Statistical Local Area)', to cover the general Hurstville area.

    Select location

    Step 6 There will now be a drop-down list. Select the statistical data that you want - in this case I'm going to select 'Ancestry', because we're intersted in how many people of Chinese ancestry are in Hurstville.

    There will be other kinds of data as well, including 'Birthplace', 'Religion', 'Language' and 'Migrants' - also worth checking out.

    Select data

    Step 7 Select the data that you want, and click 'View census tables'.

    In this case there is only one item in the list ("Ancestry by country of birth of parents"), sometimes there are a few that might be relevant, perhaps arranging the data by sex, or as a time series.

    Select data
    Step 8 This step is not very obvious - you get displayed a page, and what you actually need to do is select the tab that says 'Details'. Click on 'Details' tab

    Step 9 Click on 'Free download' to start downloading the data as an Excel file.

    You used to have to pay for the data, but most of it is now available for free! I think you still have to pay for some of the maps.

    Click on 'Free download'

    Step 10 Open the file in Excel, and you can see your data. Look for the 'Chinese' row, and the 'Total persons' row. You can also see the figures for other ancestries as well.

    In Hurstville there are 15,468 people of Chinese ancestry, out of 73,721 people. That's 21.0% of the Hustville population!

    Open with Excel

    Step 11 In order to make the figures more accessible to people, put it in a visual form.

    Take this data and put it into your chart-creating tool in your word processor and create your pie, bar or line graph.

    Make a graph
    There is a wealth of information in the ABS 2006 census data - mine it for yourself!
     
    [ PS: note that stats go out of date if you wait too long - make use of the data now! ]
    7/5/2007

    Non-English languages in Sydney

    So Mandarin is a fast growing language (see previous post). But how does it stack up against the other non-English languages in Sydney - such as Arabic? and Hindi?
     
    The following is a graph of the changing numbers of Sydney residents who speak other languages, over the last three ABS census periods.
     

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    You can see that Arabic is currently the largest non-English language in Sydney. They make up a significant minority group in our fair city. But after Arabic comes Cantonese and Mandarin - dialects which, when added together, overshadow Arabic entirely! The total number of people speaking Chinese dialects is 234,769 people!
     
    However you can see that while the Cantonese graph is growing over time, it's not growing as fast as the Arabic graph. And that again is not growing as fast as the Mandarin graph. This is highlighted in the following graph, which shows the percentage change from 1996 to 2006 of all the non-English languages. 

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    And from this you can see that Mandarin is in fact the fastest growing non-English language in Sydney, growing at 148.1% over ten years, followed by Aboriginal languages (121.3%), Hindi (94.1%) and Thai (85.4%). By comparison, Arabic only grew by 31.4%, and Cantonese by 22.4% over the same period.
     
    Here are some observations about the data.
     
    Firstly, we do need ministries in Sydney that specifically target Arabic speakers. It's a hard ministry, but there is a tremendous need for it. Unfortunately, there's not a great deal of Arabic speaking ministry currently going on. Pray for labourers to work in this important yet neglected harvest field! And consider if your church has the ability to present a compelling witness among the Arabic speaking community.
     
    But secondly, for Chinese churches such as ourselves, we are very well placed to reach Mandarin speakers, by reason of our similarity in culture and appearance. And there are a lot of Mandarin speakers in Sydney - 96,703 in Sydney at the 2006 census. But by current growth rates, the Mandarin-speaking population of Sydney would have hit the 100,000 mark on the 6th of December last year (if my calculations are correct). Everyday churches will struggle to reach Mandarin speakers - it's up to Chinese churches to take on this challenge.
     
    [ PS: here's a maths problem for you: at current growth rates, what will the Mandarin speaking population of Sydney be today? ]
    7/3/2007

    Chinese languages in Sydney

    Yesterday I shared some of the graphs you've seen with the rest of our pastoral team. During the discussion, Richard our newest Cantonese pastor asked an intersting question: "can we find out how many people speak Mandarin in the area?"
     
    Good question. And, as it turns out, we can find out from the ABS census. The following graph shows you what the 1996, 2001 and 2006 ABS census reveal about how many people in Sydney speak the various Chinese dialects.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    While there are currently 125,292 Cantonese speakers in Sydney, the number of Mandarin speakers is steadily gaining - there are now 96,703 Mandarin speakers in Sydney. That's a huge increase from the 38,974 Mandarin speakers at the 1996 census ten years ago!
     
    The next graph shows you the change in the number of speakers of various Chinese dialects, as a percentage, over the last three census periods.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    You can see that Cantonese speakers are growing a bit (13.7% in 1996-2001, and 7.7% in 2001-2006). However the growth of Cantonese speakers is dwarfed by the phenomenal growth in Mandarin speakers (63.5% in 1996-2001, and 51.8% in 2001-2006)!
     
    Over this period, other Chinese dialects have been in decline, and the general population of Sydney has only grown 6.6% in 1996-2001, and 4.0% in 2001-2006. Compared to that, the growth in Mandarin speakers is enormous!
     
    This next graph shows you the figures for Chinese language speakers in the suburbs around NDCCCS.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    In Epping/North Epping, there are 6,568 Cantonese speakers, but also 4,320 Mandarin speakers.
     
    And that's where things stand at the moment. But the thing is, these figures are currently changing: while the number of Cantonese speakers have grown by 15.5% from 2001 to 2006, the number of Mandarin speakers has actually increased by an enormous 111.8%. But in Eastwood the growth in Mandarin speakers is an even greater 121.5%, and in Marsfield it's at 173.4%! You see this in the next graph.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    What observations can we make from this data?
     
    Firstly, Mandarin is the fastest growing language in Sydney, growing at over 50% over the last two census periods. In fact, over the last ten years Mandarin has actually grown faster than any other language in Sydney! And if you look at the trajectory of the first graph, Mandarin looks like it will match, if not actually overtake Cantonese in Sydney at the next census.
     
    Secondly, in Epping, Cantonese is currently the majority Chinese dialect, and in Eastwood and Marsfield it's roughly equal to Mandarin. But Mandarin is growing at over 100% in these three suburbs, while Cantonese is only growing at under 25%. In fact, in our area Mandarin is growing faster than it is in Sydney as a whole (51.8%). Mandarin will most likely overtake Cantonese in every one of these three suburbs at the next census.
     
    Thirdly, the Chinese speaking population in our local area is increasing faster than the general population (in Marsfield, 54.6% for Chinese speakers, compared 3.2% for the suburb as a whole). However the overwhelming majority of that growth in Chinese spekaers is actually from Mandarin speaking people - not Cantonese speakers!
     
    So in order to reach a significant minority of Chinese who are currently in our local area, and in order to reach the majority of those who are now coming into our local area, Mandarin ministry is vital. And I'm sure this holds true in other areas of Sydney as well...
     
    [ PS: ND is holding Mandarin classes on Saturday mornings in preparation for Mandarin ministry - have you signed up yet? ]
    7/1/2007

    Religious belief in Australia

    The ABS website also also has interesting data about the religious beliefs of Australians, from the 2006 ABS census. The following graph shows you a breakup of how Australians in different age groups describe their religious beliefs.
     

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

    But not only that - you can also see how things have changed over time, by looking at previous national census data. Notice that the age groups are in blocks of ten years - and that the census is conducted every five years. This means that we can compare the data from 1996 census with the data from the 2006 census. The people in the 25-34 age bracket in 1996 are the same people who are now in the 35-44 age bracket in 2006. This means we can track what has happened with essentially the same group of people over a ten year period, and see how people have shifted in their religious beliefs!
     
    So what I did was look at the raw figures from 1996 and 2006, then the difference between the two sets. Then converted them to percentages. However, there is also normal changes to figures due to deaths etc. If you factor in that normal change in, you can discover what the real changes are.
     
    I'm not going to type out the figures, and you probably won't read them anyway, so I took a screen grab of the spreadsheet figures.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    So once you adjust the figures for the normal change in age groups, you get the actual percentage change in religons per age group. Plotted as a line graph, this is what you see.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

    The age groups in the graph above (and below) correlate to the age groups in the first graph right at the top. So how does Christianity fare? When you isolate the Christianity line, this is what you see.

    This image is Copyright © Andrew Hong, 2007. All rights reserved.

     
    What can we make of all this data? Here are a few observations. 
    1. People make the most change early on in life. Generally, the line graphs are furthest away from the 0% line for the 25-34 age group. After that, the lines converge towards the 0% line - people tend not to change their religion much later on. This suggests that evangelism is most fruitful in the early years.
    2. Christianity makes the most change early on, and then is remarkably stable. The change early on is negative - that is, Christianity loses adherents. Just as evangelism is most fruitful in the early years, so to is discipleship most critical in the early years.
    3. Buddhism and Hinduism have the most positive change across the age ranges - Hinduism particularly in the 25-34 age range (growth of 246% over 10 years), though it doesn't grow as strong later. And Buddhism grows in the 50-100% range over most of the age ranges.
    4. Even though Buddhism, Hinduism and other religions are growing fast, don't forget that the first graph reveals that the vast majority of Australians still identify themselves as Christians (green). While other groups are growing fast, they are growing from a much smaller base.

      Of course, the Christians that make up the majority are not necessarily true Christians at all - firstly, the beliefs grouped under Christianity also include Roman Catholicism, Jehovah's Witnesses and so on. It's a very wide group. And secondly, some people identify themselves as Christians without ever stepping into a church.
    5. However what I found most fascinating is that the 'no religion' group actually loses people over time. While the 'no religion' group grows at 28% for the 25-34 age group (and seems quite threatening), it actually dips into the negative from that point on - and never recovers. It seems that from about 35 years onwards, Australians realise that 'no religion' is unsatisfying, and are searching for something more significant.

      So evangelism isn't only fruitful for the 25-34 age group - we can expect some people from other age groups to also be looking for something with more significance.
    [ PS: are there other things you notice about the data? ]